Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Varona has a slight advantage on the second serve, winning 44.17% of points compared to Bailly's 40.88%. Could this be decisive?
• In return games, Varona edges out Bailly with 45.94% of their opponent's second serve points, while Bailly is close behind at 44.61%.
• Bailly is marginally better in first serve returns, securing 29.13% compared to Varona's 27.29%.
• Under pressure, Varona excels at breaking opponent momentum, saving 56% of breakpoints, significantly better than Bailly's 47%.
• Despite Varona's resilience under pressure, Bailly boasts a higher overall match win rate of 71.43% against Varona's 61.64%. Does experience count more here?
• On hard courts, which is both players' preferred surface, Bailly has a superior win rate at 69%, compared to Varona's 61%.
• Bailly competes mostly in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning an impressive 71.64% of matches, showing success at this level, while Varona has played in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K with a 56.36% win rate.
• Varona has faced slightly tougher competition, with opponents having an average rank of 358.99 compared to Bailly's 390.56.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Bailly shows better resilience, winning 60% of such sets, compared to Varona's 36%.
• Bailly is more efficient at breaking opponents, converting 40.09% of breakpoints as opposed to Varona's 33.33% conversion rate.

Editorial Prediction (August 29, 2025, UTC):

As we delve into the head-to-head statistics between Varona and Bailly, certain patterns begin to emerge that could influence the outcome of their upcoming match. Varona demonstrates slightly better performance in second serve points and breakpoint saves, suggesting resilience under pressure.

However, Bailly's overall higher win percentage and success in deciding sets highlight their ability to close out matches. The hard court preference shared by both players becomes a slight advantage for Bailly, who has a superior record on this surface.

While Varona has faced slightly tougher opponents, Bailly's effective breakpoint conversion and refined skills on the Futures/Satellites circuit indicate tactical strength. All things considered, Bailly appears to be the likely candidate to emerge victorious in this encounter.